Wednesday, June 12, 2013

Strategy For Gold: Technical Analysis on Request

My last article on gold told about gold coming up to 28k. I was write and the gold have reached 28k, filling the gap.
If gold start correcting after this gap filling we may see a support at 27,300-27,400. if the support fail we may see it coming to a support at 26,400-276,500. Gold is a hold

Click here for previous article on gold

Thursday, May 23, 2013

Technical analysis on Request: Gold

Gold is forming a kind of symmetrical triangle and gave a bullish breakout. Gold will rise around 28k levels and find some resistance. If it manages to go above 29k gold will be on a bull run. 

Sunday, April 28, 2013

Weekly analysis of Sensex: 29th April to 3rd March 2013

The market  will  looking sluggish this week the resistance of 19712 will be a major resistance for this week the market is expected to have  18624 as a support at lower side. we are seeing a negative divergence in in Sensex, this may drive to 18624.

 Am I bullish on Sensex?
No, I expect a consolidation. We are seeing a risk building out in Sensex, as per me this week is the week for profits booking. Most of the short term players may book profit this week.

How much consolidation is good for Sensex?
18510-18000 need to be the support below which market is not healthy to grab. If market manages to consolidate below 18000 levels we may see a free fall upto 17500/16900.

Wednesday, April 24, 2013

Sleeping Triangle: An Research and Findings by Sangamesh.K.S Part 1

Sleeping Triangles
The name may be fascinating, interesting, curious sometimes weird. The main myth with this pattern has stimulated my need towards understanding pattern at a higher level.  When we go into, what is it all about? How this pattern emerged?  We come to know there are 2 major parts in Sleeping Triangle.  One is body and other is the sleeping body of the triangle. I call it as real body and sleeping body.

Real Body
 As per my observation the real body will be lengthiest price action before breakout. The real body get into new resistance. It will touch the higher price, the price action of the real body will be very high and sometimes it take a short time duration (it may be formed within couple of days). As the price action with real body is very high. We normally tend to see RSI and other Oscillators going to a overbought zone.

Sleeping Body
The sleeping body is the essential part which differs from a regular triangle. The price action will never tend touch the support (it will touch only once before giving a breakout) instead try to be at a higher level but the sentiments of the market drag the price action lower such that it from a channel.  The volume will be much lower compared to real body.
 The price action of the sleeping body can be seen sticking to the upper level. And show the sentiments to be bullish.

Premature breakouts
Sometimes we may see the price giving premature breakouts which will say the future breakout (intension of bullish/bearish breakout) and price action.

 The breakout will be formed when the price hit the support and when the support is good the price rebound which cause a breakout.
*T&C Apply

Strategy: Trading using Sleeping Triangle   
When we see a bullish breakout it is the only level where we can buy. As the price level is low it is the best opportunity to buy at a breakout and sell at a higher high. The triangles need to be traded opposite of a triangle. In the figure above, we can see a triangle which resembles as a descending triangle.  In a descending triangle we normally place a stop loss above the trend line but here in this sleeping we need to place a stop opposite to the descending triangle

Types of Sleeping Triangle
These triangle are of 2 types namely an
·         Ascending  Sleeping Triangle(Bearish)
·         Descending Sleeping Triangle(Bullish)
An example of descending triangle forming in Tata Coffee

Descending Triangle
 For More details

Tuesday, April 23, 2013

RIL: An Analysis for 25/4/13

After one cycle swing seen in reliance I am looking a reversal. The stock has a powerful resistance at 850. If it able to cross then we can see the stock going up to 920.

Indicators:  we are seeing a bullish divergence which is been building from long days. We see this divergence in MACD. We have even seen a good crossover as most of the stock has been in a bearish mode. It is been a hotspot for many of the investors.

Fib Levels:  As I had told above this stock may find resistance at 50%. If it manages to cross that level, it will reach to 920. Which will lead to 920 levels; the stock is looks potential and we may even see the stock moving more than 940 as the divergence is strong.

Moving Average: I have been looking for a long time. The stock is more sentimental towards 20 DMA. After confirmation of a breakout in 20 DMA this stock is found to be bullish.