Disclaimers: This is completely a Knowledge based and Doesn't Contain any "Buy/Sell Tips".Stocks mentioned in this article are not to be viewed as recommendations for buying or selling."They are experiments" and they can move in either-way.
Sunday, January 6, 2013
Tata Steel, Elliott Wave Analysis
It’s
almost a year or more I have been observing that Tata Steel is more sentimental towards gaps theory. This phenomenon may be
usual and may be seen in many stocks but we are seeing this "gap
theory" again and again in tata steel. Long ago I was speaking regarding
"Magical support" of sensex. But Tata steel have too much of such SAR
The
stock has started to correct and have a possible correction till around 417 and
move in the bullish channel.
Elliot Wave Analysis
This is my 1st EWT analysis. Currently we are seeing
Tata steel correcting. It has just started corrective wave A and may have a
support as mentioned above (around 417).
Thursday, December 20, 2012
ITC, How long to correct?
Sunday, December 16, 2012
Technical Analysis on IVRCL Ltd
On 3rd December I had had told my opinion on my page Experiments With Stocks, The stocks went up to +9% and gave a bearish engulfing. the price is currently ruling around 42. I was away from this stocks but a sudden Harami drew my attention.
According to me the stock have a potential to go upto 47. If it show a reversal know. If not the stock have a support at 39.
Tuesday, December 11, 2012
DEC12, 2012
Know
everyone are fantasied with today’s date but for me today stand as a milestone.
Yes, I completed 2 year out in stock market. One thing that I always ask: what I
learnt in this year, is there something new? How it might help me? Every days
is a new day for me, learning something new different from others.
For many
people Technical Analysis might be a piece of cake, they might have learnt by a
relative, friend, college or any training program. But, a college guy who specialize
himself in marketing. Take a weird step on 12th dec 2010 saying “I
will enter Stock Market”. It might be a easy thing for many people whose
parents, relative, friends are into this market and they just need to approaches
their respective people. I was one guy who didn’t have any such source but had
a determination for learning it. Trust me friends, determination is the only
thing that is needed in life. I am not a motivational speaker but it is a myth
of life.
How
I actually learnt Technical Analysis?
Whenever
people find me, they ask me one frequent question. Where you learnt Technical Analysis?
You worked in any company? And such question. Today, I will let you my secret.
How I learnt Technical Analysis?
It was
on 8th dec I actually decided to enter market. On 12th
dec I sent a request to join a group owned by a lady called Darpana Sharma. The
group found to be resourceful. I found some potential guys who worth following.
Then I sent them a friend request, added them and for 6 months or so. I just
observed them. The way they place there stop-loss, the way they take their decisions,
entry point, strategies and levels. I am a student of psychology (Cognitive
Psychology), and it was a easy task for me to decode there thought process using
reverse engineering. I classified my people into categories
AmitMalhotra-A perfect Strategist
Abhivandan Nagia- A Superhuman
Team Eaibs -Godfather of magical supports and resistance
Dilp Jain- Trading with NEWS
And there
are number of people along with these people, I can’t name them all. But do
have a great respect to call them my Dronacharya. These people were Brokers,
Analysts, traders etc.
Simultaneously
I started reading books suggested by CMT(MTA) for their examinations. I felt
really easy to read them, I used to read them and look for pattern formation
out in market. Till September 2011 I quietly decoded these people. Then to practical’s
I started applying what I learnt. I personally felt some difficulty applying
what I learnt.
A
Journey With ATMA
I was a
great fan of MTA. I always used to dig MTA website, then I found Association of
Technical Market Analyst which is a Indian chapter of MTA. I was in a huge dilemma
to join into ATMA or carry my current psyco- reengineering process. I took an initiative
to get into ATMA. I majorly used to explore MTA’s knowledge base during my initial
days. But today association have its own library with number of books, website,
and podcast for members. As I have told you I was having problem applying what
I read. Because applying knowledge is different than what we actually read out
in books.
One
turning point came when ATMA started to conduct Regional meetings it was a
golden opportunity for me to be there every time. The reason why because I was
been surrounded with the people who can’t follow what I am speaking, whenever I
used to take words like Head & shoulders, Triangles, indicators and all
people saw me as if a I am alien. The people who surrounded me were from
marketing, they knew brand management, advertising, sales etc. ATMA was the
only option. People out in ATMA are really cooperative with open heart for everyone;
few are at peak active all the time.
My personal words
My personal words
- You make profit/ loss, keep an account.
- Always have control on your emotions, never give a chance for your emotions
- Keep your ego at bay
- Love what you do, stock market is not mandatory for all
- Marks and degrees are bullshit. Experience and knowledge are the key factors
- Don’t hurry making money. 1st Back-test, at least work on knowledge aspect remember Abraham"If I had six hours to chop down a tree, I'd spend the first four hours sharpening the axe".
- Determination and confidence are 2 phase of same coin.
Monday, December 10, 2012
Ashok Leyland an Analysis
On August 26th I identified a Falling wedge pattern. My analysis is currently giving a profit of +35%. Today I am willing to exit from Ashok Leyland
Reason: A triple top formation, A triangle formation
Strategy: Sell if trend line get violated, add on if we see a positive breakout
Article1: Click here
Article2: Click Hear
Reason: A triple top formation, A triangle formation
Strategy: Sell if trend line get violated, add on if we see a positive breakout
Article1: Click here
Article2: Click Hear
Monday, November 26, 2012
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