Since the news of Stake rise by Anglo-Dutch company
Unileaver PLC is ready to pump some +19K
crores which is roughly around 67%. The FMCG market had a hard time; slowdown,
high cost, profit margin, rupee depreciation, had affected almost all FMCG stocks.
We have seen a consolidation of HUL stock from last June-July even FMCG stock
have seen consolidation from September 2013.
FMCG CNX Analysis
Currently CNX FMCG is
just below 200DMA and trend-line is standing as a support. There is a possibility
we may see a reversal. Stake rise is not only a problem with HUL, many foreign
companies are rising stake in major FMCG companies like Pepsico, GSK and few in other subsidiaries. It was basically a
result of
SEBI’s and RBI’s change of rules in minimum public shareholdings.
FMCG CNX had formed a Symmetrical triangle now; It had not
given any directional breakout.
Analysis on HUL
The Stake rise news had created a fluctuation thus forming a Descending Triangle pattern, which had also given a negative breakout. Along with it we are also seeing a divergence now, and forming a reversal pattern.
The stock is not an attractive stocks for analyst and many
find ITC to be a good bet, as the P/E & Earning for
FY15(Expected)
to be good comparatively good. Both RSI as well as MACD has shown some
divergence.
I am not a pharmabull. But, I want to play it technically.
Buy if HUL give a positive breakout. I see this stock to be bullish and the stock is expected to move up to 680/725, if it fails to give any breakout the stock find
its support at 484/434.